The Future Has a Burn Rate.
Proof is becoming abundant. The technology argument is getting easier. The economic argument is getting harder.
- AI Infrastructure
- Space
- Power & Nuclear
- Quantum
- Portfolio Process
13 published issues · updated weekly
Proof is becoming abundant. The technology argument is getting easier. The economic argument is getting harder.
Six portfolio companies report before next Monday, one jobs print can move the discount rate, and BWXT may have the cleanest chance to earn more weight.
Intel confirmed the demand. The market questioned the economics. Now the four largest technology spenders face the same test.
Inflation cooled, yields eased, and the market opened the door—but execution decided which frontier companies deserved to walk through.
The market keeps climbing despite rising yields, geopolitical risk, and a hawkish Fed because AI infrastructure demand remains louder than the wall of worry.
After five issues of promising to trim Micron, Alex finally did it — then rolled the proceeds into SpaceX and traded one kind of concentration for another.
The chip trade cooled, the grid hit record demand, and the AI thesis began moving down the stack from silicon into power, cooling, transmission, and materials.
Rocket Lab stopped being a launch proxy and started becoming a space platform, while chips rotated lower and the power grid revealed the next AI bottleneck.
Micron won the week while tech lost it — a live case study in the Memory Wedge, concentration risk, and why owning the scarce thing still requires discipline.
A near-sale, a Micron blowout, and the discipline of holding the thesis while managing the size. Day 85, +58% on capital, 20/20 positions green.
One retail account, one frontier-tech thesis, documented in public. A hawkish Fed surprise on Wednesday, a one-day correction, and by Thursday's close the dip-buyers — and a signed peace deal — had already erased it.
One retail account, one frontier-tech thesis, documented in public. This week the two biggest overhangs of the whole journey resolved in four days.
Opening dispatch: AI compute, space, nuclear, quantum, fintech rails.